The World Bank has maintained its China GDP forecast at 4.4 per cent for 2026, citing resilient economic activity, strong exports and continued investment in high-tech industries.
BEIJING: The World Bank has left its China GDP forecast unchanged at 4.4 per cent for 2026, saying the country’s economy has remained resilient despite global uncertainties. The latest China Economic Update points to strong exports and growing investment in high-tech industries as key drivers supporting economic activity.
According to the report, investment in China’s high-tech sectors rose 4.5 per cent year on year between January and May, fuelled by rising demand for artificial intelligence-related products at home and abroad. The World Bank said this momentum has helped offset external challenges and could support stronger-than-expected growth if current trends continue.
Exports of technology-intensive goods also remained robust, while imports accelerated as businesses increased spending on AI-related equipment and components. The report noted that stronger demand for advanced technologies is encouraging companies to expand production and strengthen supply chains.
Although the growth outlook remains unchanged, the World Bank said there is potential for the economy to outperform its current projection if investment and exports continue to gather pace. The report highlighted the increasing role of innovation and advanced manufacturing in supporting China’s long-term economic development.
China has been investing heavily in sectors such as artificial intelligence, semiconductors and advanced manufacturing as it seeks to strengthen productivity and reduce dependence on traditional growth drivers. These industries are becoming increasingly important as global demand for technology products continues to rise.
The latest China GDP forecast reflects confidence in the country’s economic resilience while recognising the importance of continued investment, technological innovation and strong external demand. Economists will be watching closely to see whether China’s expanding high-tech sector can deliver even stronger growth in the second half of the year.
